potential COVID-19 treatments - versus control - for COVID-19 severe or critically pdf   xlsx method abbreviations

Outcome Relative effect 95%CI LoD Trt. better when I2 k (RCT/OBS) Bayesian probability Overall ROB Publication bias Degree of certainty Endpoint importance Published MA

efficacy endpoints 00

death D28 0.78 [0.65, 0.94]< 131%35 studies (34/1)99.6 %moderatecritical moderatecrucial-
death or transfer to ICU 0.90 [0.73, 1.10]< 118%2 studies (1/1)84.5 %NAnot evaluable crucial-
deaths 0.69 [0.55, 0.85]< 193%89 studies (67/22)100.0 %moderatecritical moderatecrucial-
deaths (time to event analysis only) 0.73 [0.48, 1.11]< 196%22 studies (17/5)92.9 %moderatecritical moderatecrucial-
clinical deterioration 0.72 [0.56, 0.94]< 10%7 studies (6/1)99.3 %moderatenot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement 1.21 [1.05, 1.39]> 160%28 studies (27/1)99.6 %moderatecritical moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (14-day) 1.18 [0.93, 1.49]> 165%12 studies (12/-)91.7 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (28-day) 1.33 [1.03, 1.71]> 145%14 studies (13/1)98.6 %moderatecritical moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (7-day) 1.36 [0.72, 2.58]> 139%6 studies (5/1)83.0 %moderatenot evaluable moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (time to event analysis only) 1.13 [1.02, 1.25]> 116%14 studies (14/-)99.0 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
death or ventilation 0.96 [0.66, 1.41]< 156%7 studies (7/-)57.7 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
hospital discharge 1.04 [0.85, 1.27]> 158%10 studies (9/1)66.0 %moderatecritical moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation 0.88 [0.69, 1.12]< 10%19 studies (19/-)84.5 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation (time to event analysis only) 0.72 [0.35, 1.48]< 10%2 studies (2/-)81.2 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
radiologic improvement (14-day) 3.53 [1.19, 10.46]> 10%2 studies (2/-)98.9 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance 2.92 [0.16, 51.79]> 190%3 studies (2/1)76.5 %lownot evaluable highimportant-
viral clearance by day 14 7.68 [0.34, 173.70]> 190%2 studies (2/-)89.7 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
ICU admission 0.60 [0.38, 0.93]< 152%10 studies (9/1)98.8 %moderatelow moderatenon important-
Major thrombotic events or death 1.04 [0.80, 1.36]< 10%1 study (1/-)38.7 %NAnot evaluable non important-
off oxygenation 1.39 [0.29, 6.74]> 170%3 studies (3/-)65.7 %highnot evaluable lownon important-
recovery 1.30 [0.64, 2.66]> 19%2 studies (2/-)76.5 %lownot evaluable highnon important-

safety endpoints 00

AE leading to drug discontinuation 2.43 [0.79, 7.45]< 10%1 study (1/-)6.0 %NAnot evaluable important-
related AE (TRAE) 1.26 [0.14, 11.07]< 10%2 studies (2/-)41.9 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
related SAE (TRSAE) 1.24 [0.50, 3.11]< 10%1 study (1/-)32.0 %NAnot evaluable important-
serious adverse events 1.04 [0.87, 1.24]< 127%21 studies (21/-)33.6 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
superinfection 1.32 [0.48, 3.60]< 180%4 studies (3/1)29.6 %seriousnot evaluable lowimportant-
acute kidney injury 0.43 [0.14, 1.34]< 10%1 study (-/1)92.7 %NAnot evaluable non important-
adverse events 1.12 [0.96, 1.31]< 10%11 studies (11/-)7.8 %some concernlow moderatenon important-
arrhythmia 0.16 [0.03, 0.90]< 10%1 study (-/1)98.1 %NAnot evaluable non important-
deep vein thrombosis 0.50 [0.03, 8.10]< 10%1 study (1/-)68.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
elevated liver enzymes 0.43 [0.21, 0.90]< 10%2 studies (1/1)98.7 %lownot evaluable highnon important-
hyperbilirubinemia 1.09 [0.42, 2.79]< 10%1 study (1/-)43.1 %NAnot evaluable non important-
long QT 0.90 [0.56, 1.43]< 10%1 study (1/-)67.1 %NAnot evaluable non important-
Major bleeding 1.56 [0.85, 2.87]< 10%2 studies (2/-)7.7 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-
Myocardial infarction 0.87 [0.19, 3.92]< 10%1 study (-/1)57.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-
pulmonary embolism 0.50 [0.03, 8.10]< 10%1 study (1/-)68.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
renal impairment 1.44 [0.98, 2.10]< 10%2 studies (2/-)3.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-
venous thromboembolism 5.23 [0.42, 65.62]< 10%1 study (-/1)10.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-

AE of interest endpoints 00

Thromboembolic events 1.07 [0.76, 1.49]< 10%1 study (1/-)35.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-

LoD: level of statistical demonstration: Statistically conclusive: statistically significant with a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error (statistically demonstrated), does not take into account the risk of bias; suggested: nominally statistically significant but without a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error; inconclusive: not nominally statistically significant; safety concerns;
Bayesian probability: Bayesian posterior probability of treatment effect (computed with a noninformative prior); ROB: risk of bias; k: number of studies; published MA: number of published meta-analysis on the same topic; degree of certainty adapted from GRADE. Trt. better when: indicates when the relative treatment effect shows that the studied treatment is better than control.