potential COVID-19 treatments - versus potential COVID-19 treatments - for COVID-19 mild to moderate pdf   xlsx method abbreviations

Outcome Relative effect 95%CI LoD Trt. better when I2 k (RCT/OBS) Bayesian probability Overall ROB Publication bias Degree of certainty Endpoint importance Published MA

efficacy endpoints 00

death D28 0.72 [0.57, 0.90]< 10%15 studies (15/-)99.8 %some concernlow moderatecrucial-
death or transfer to ICU 0.89 [0.59, 1.34]< 146%2 studies (2/-)71.8 %highnot evaluable lowcrucial-
deaths 0.78 [0.68, 0.91]< 10%43 studies (43/-)100.0 %some concerncritical moderatecrucial-
deaths (time to event analysis only) 0.68 [0.43, 1.08]< 10%4 studies (4/-)95.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderatecrucial-
clinical deterioration 0.71 [0.52, 0.98]< 163%18 studies (18/-)98.2 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement 1.23 [1.01, 1.50]> 162%17 studies (17/-)98.1 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (14-day) 1.22 [1.00, 1.49]> 132%10 studies (10/-)97.6 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (21-day) 2.09 [0.04, 119.96]> 10%1 study (1/-)63.7 %NAnot evaluable important-
clinical improvement (28-day) 1.34 [1.10, 1.62]> 146%5 studies (5/-)99.8 %some concernserious moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (7-day) 1.25 [1.02, 1.55]> 164%11 studies (11/-)98.2 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
clinical improvement (time to event analysis only) 1.17 [0.99, 1.39]> 167%12 studies (12/-)97.1 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
death or ventilation 0.75 [0.63, 0.88]< 10%5 studies (5/-)100.0 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
hospital discharge 1.21 [0.97, 1.51]> 146%7 studies (7/-)95.6 %some concernserious moderateimportant-
hospitalization 0.46 [0.06, 3.45]< 128%2 studies (2/-)77.4 %lownot evaluable highimportant-
mechanical ventilation 0.97 [0.71, 1.34]< 122%16 studies (16/-)56.3 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
mechanical ventilation (time to event analysis only) 0.06 [0.01, 0.83]< 10%1 study (1/-)98.2 %NAnot evaluable important-
radiologic improvement (14-day) 1.82 [0.95, 3.51]> 139%4 studies (4/-)96.4 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
radiologic improvement (7-day) 0.98 [0.09, 10.24]> 172%4 studies (4/-)49.3 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance 1.50 [1.14, 1.96]> 170%19 studies (19/-)99.8 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
viral clearance (time to event analysis only) 1.23 [0.87, 1.74]> 174%7 studies (7/-)87.6 %some concernnot evaluable moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 14 1.04 [0.23, 4.74]> 193%10 studies (10/-)51.9 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
viral clearance by day 7 1.33 [1.05, 1.68]> 167%15 studies (15/-)99.1 %some concerncritical moderateimportant-
ICU admission 0.99 [0.75, 1.30]< 10%9 studies (9/-)53.1 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-
recovery 1.01 [0.82, 1.25]> 156%4 studies (4/-)54.1 %some concernnot evaluable moderatenon important-
severe COVID-19 occurrence 0.30 [0.07, 1.27]< 10%1 study (1/-)94.9 %NAnot evaluable non important-

safety endpoints 00

serious adverse events 0.74 [0.53, 1.02]< 10%17 studies (17/-)96.6 %some concernlow moderateimportant-
acute kidney injury 1.18 [0.44, 3.18]< 10%1 study (1/-)37.2 %NAnot evaluable non important-
adverse events 1.84 [1.36, 2.49]< 163%21 studies (21/-)0.0 %some concernlow moderatenon important-
arrhythmia 2.24 [0.23, 21.69]< 10%1 study (1/-)24.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
elevated liver enzymes 3.48 [1.40, 8.64]< 10%1 study (1/-)0.4 %NAnot evaluable non important-
long QT 9.79 [1.27, 75.50]< 10%1 study (1/-)1.5 %NAnot evaluable non important-
Major bleeding 1.80 [0.88, 3.67]< 10%1 study (1/-)5.3 %NAnot evaluable non important-
renal impairment 1.35 [0.47, 3.86]< 10%1 study (1/-)28.8 %NAnot evaluable non important-
serious adverse events (SAE), any 0.50 [0.32, 0.79]< 10%1 study (1/-)99.9 %NAnot evaluable non important-

AE of interest endpoints 00

Thromboembolic events 0.89 [0.31, 2.55]< 10%1 study (1/-)58.6 %NAnot evaluable non important-

LoD: level of statistical demonstration: Statistically conclusive: statistically significant with a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error (statistically demonstrated), does not take into account the risk of bias; suggested: nominally statistically significant but without a strict control of overall risk of type 1 error; inconclusive: not nominally statistically significant; safety concerns;
Bayesian probability: Bayesian posterior probability of treatment effect (computed with a noninformative prior); ROB: risk of bias; k: number of studies; published MA: number of published meta-analysis on the same topic; degree of certainty adapted from GRADE. Trt. better when: indicates when the relative treatment effect shows that the studied treatment is better than control.